vrijdag 26 januari 2018

Global gold mine supply declining

I don't know how much of this is accurate, but gold mine supply sure is declining.



donderdag 25 januari 2018

Stock Screener: Day 6: Endeavour Silver (EXK)

Nissan went up, so we need to lock in profits.

If I don't have any ideas anymore what to buy, I use the stock screener.

What you want to do is filter on 4 attributes: market cap, P/E, dividend yield and percentage change.

1) Market Cap: do not choose small companies as they are mostly fraudulent or don't have sustainable earnings. Don't choose big companies because these are not volatile enough to get fast profits from. I'd filter between 200 million and 4 billion.

2) P/E ratio: choose the companies with the lowest P/E ratio, these companies are dirt cheap while still having earnings. Cheap is below P/E of 5. But do not choose below P/E of 2 because those are mostly companies that are going bankrupt or have bad growth.

3) Dividend yield: always choose companies that have dividends, because these companies have real earnings and can prove they have sustainable earnings to reward investors. The higher the better of course, but don't push it above 7% as those companies probably don't have the money to pay out dividends on a regular basis. I'd go for companies with dividends between 3% and 7%.

4) Volatility: don't choose companies that are so volatile. Maximum year over year change should be between the 20% range.


This time I just bought Endeavour Silver because I think the silver price will go up and Endeavour Silver has a nice growth profile.

maandag 22 januari 2018

20 years of silver supply remaining

Following report says that there are only 20 years of silver supply remaining.


And for other metals:


donderdag 11 januari 2018

Stock Screener: Day 5: Nissan (NSANY)

Gamestop has been surging since I bought it a week ago, so we need to lock in profits.

If I don't have any ideas anymore what to buy, I use the stock screener.

What you want to do is filter on 4 attributes: market cap, P/E, dividend yield and percentage change.

1) Market Cap: do not choose small companies as they are mostly fraudulent or don't have sustainable earnings. Don't choose big companies because these are not volatile enough to get fast profits from. I'd filter between 200 million and 4 billion.

2) P/E ratio: choose the companies with the lowest P/E ratio, these companies are dirt cheap while still having earnings. Cheap is below P/E of 5. But do not choose below P/E of 2 because those are mostly companies that are going bankrupt or have bad growth.

3) Dividend yield: always choose companies that have dividends, because these companies have real earnings and can prove they have sustainable earnings to reward investors. The higher the better of course, but don't push it above 7% as those companies probably don't have the money to pay out dividends on a regular basis. I'd go for companies with dividends between 3% and 7%.

4) Volatility: don't choose companies that are so volatile. Maximum year over year change should be between the 20% range.



We use the exact same parameters as above and our next winner is: Nissan (NSANY). This time I took a stock from the U.S. This company is correctly valued with a P/E of 8 and dividend of 6.4%. Not very interesting you might say, but this stock has interesting technicals as it is trading with higher lows in a wedge formation. It is on the verge of breaking out, so this is the right time to buy it.

donderdag 4 januari 2018

Stock Screener: Day 4: GameStop Corp. (GME)

Finally Euronav went back up in the green and now I can go on to my next stock pick. Euronav didn't do so well because of terrible shipping rates. But the economy is now turning positive again and that's visible in the VLCC rates.

If I don't have any ideas anymore what to buy, I use the stock screener.

What you want to do is filter on 4 attributes: market cap, P/E, dividend yield and percentage change.

1) Market Cap: do not choose small companies as they are mostly fraudulent or don't have sustainable earnings. Don't choose big companies because these are not volatile enough to get fast profits from. I'd filter between 200 million and 4 billion.

2) P/E ratio: choose the companies with the lowest P/E ratio, these companies are dirt cheap while still having earnings. Cheap is below P/E of 5. But do not choose below P/E of 2 because those are mostly companies that are going bankrupt or have bad growth.

3) Dividend yield: always choose companies that have dividends, because these companies have real earnings and can prove they have sustainable earnings to reward investors. The higher the better of course, but don't push it above 7% as those companies probably don't have the money to pay out dividends on a regular basis. I'd go for companies with dividends between 3% and 7%.

4) Volatility: don't choose companies that are so volatile. Maximum year over year change should be between the 20% range.




We use the exact same parameters as above and our next winner is: Gamestop (GME). This time I took a stock from the U.S. This company is very undervalued with a P/E of 5.5 and dividend of 8%. So what can go wrong here? Well, its business model is quickly becoming obsolete, because nobody wants to buy physical video games anymore, everyone now buys games online. But I think the stock is now trading so low that we must see a little bounce here. I hope...

woensdag 3 januari 2018

Japan fiscal situation improves in 2018

The Ministry of Finance Japan has released a draft budget for 2018 and that report on the fiscal situation can be found here. I'll summarize my findings in this article.